Let's put the 'it's cuz there are so many COVID shots doled out' argument to bed.

Oh and causation is becoming undeniable!

Please go to the CDC website to find out what you need to know!

But before you do that and before you recite the ‘safe and effective’ mantra, know this: 9 deaths have been causally-linked to the J&J injection and a warning made to women ages 30-49 years to beware the J&J product. It’s connected to thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) and death. Could this be a little bit of throwing J&J under the bus? Ruh roh.

I liked learning this today because I was on the Highwire with Del Bigtree last night talking all about how the WHO uses the Bradford Hill Criteria to make causality assessments using pharmacovigilance tools like VAERS. You can watch that by pressing on the cutest photo ever below!

But back to this article. For now.

Continued monitoring has identified nine deaths causally associated with J&J/Janssen COVID-19 vaccination. CDC and FDA continue to review reports of death following COVID-19 vaccination and update information as it becomes available.

Great! They are doing their assessments and finding causal links to death. Good start. I wonder how many they’ll find?

Here’s what you need to know.

The injections are ‘safe and effective’, just like Thalidomide was. And smoking. It’s not just for cool people, you know.

Scroll down a little bit on the CDC website to the part about death.

Reports of death after COVID-19 vaccination are rare. FDA requires healthcare providers to report any death after COVID-19 vaccination to VAERS, even if it’s unclear whether the vaccine was the cause. Reports of adverse events to VAERS following vaccination, including deaths, do not necessarily mean that a vaccine caused a health problem. More than 558 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines were administered in the United States from December 14, 2020, through March 21, 2022. During this time, VAERS received 13,434 preliminary reports of death (0.0024%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine. CDC and FDA clinicians review reports of death to VAERS including death certificates, autopsy, and medical records.

Ok. Let’s dig into this.

“Reports of death after COVID-19 vaccination are rare.”

Are they? Ruh-roh. Well that depends on what you’re comparing the death rate to. The rate from previous years? The rate compared to other severe adverse event occurances? The rate compared to the rate of dying from being hit by a car when you walk out the injection location?

If we compare the death rates reported to VAERS in the context of all vaccines combined for the past 30 years, to the death rate in 2021 for the COVID-19 products only, we observe an over 10,000% increase in death reports. Granted, many doses of the COVID-19 injectable products have been doled out. But the combined amount of shots doled out for all vaccines combined is comparable to the number of doses doled out for the COVID-19 injectable products in the United States.

Let’s get specific and push the envelope a little bit to exclude all other vaccines (except the flu) in a little napkin math experiment.

According to the CDC, 193.8 million doses of flu vaccine have been distributed in the United States as of February 26, 2021 (for the 2020-2021 flu season): “the highest number of doses in a single flu season”.¹ 558 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines were administered in the United States from December 14, 2020, through March 21, 2022.² This is 462 days. So, a flu season is a year (365 days), so I think it would be fair to assume that if 193.8 doses of flu vaccine were doled out in 365 days then ~245 million doses would be doled out in 462 days.

Let’s go with the assumption that we have 2.3 times more doses of COVID product doled out than for the flu for the same time period of 462 days. It would make sense then, that the rate of reporting in VAERS (for the same range of adverse events as reported for the flu, ahem) should be about twice for COVID than for flu, non? Twice as many doses, a proportional number of reporting, twice as many reports! Let’s check that.

As of today, March 25, 2022, according to the WONDER/CDC system, there are 1,696 different types of adverse events and 45,650 total adverse events reported to VAERS in the context of the 14 variations of flu vaccines. Also according to the WONDER/CDC system, there are 10,526 different types of adverse events and 5,368,444 total adverse events reported to VAERS in the context of the 3 variations of the COVID-19 products used in the United States. N.B. These counts do not represent the individuals who experienced an adverse event but the total number of events reported.

Napkin math drum-roll paleaseeeeeee…

1. We have twice as many COVID shots than flu shots.

2. We have 6.2 times as many types of adverse event types reported in the context of the COVID shots

3. We have 117.6 times as many reports of adverse events in the context on the COVID shots.

So even though we omitted all the other vaccines (there are 82 other types!), we still have no comparison here with regard to the number of shots and the relationship to the number of adverse events occurring and being reported, and we certainly do not see the ‘anticipated’ doubling of the reports as we would have expected if the injection to adverse event ratio was proportional for flu and COVID products.

One more thing.

During this time, VAERS received 13,434 preliminary reports of death (0.0024%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine.

The CDC is well aware that VAERS suffers from under-reporting. So why are they not considering the under-reporting factor (URF) here? And what is the URF for death? Or for all the adverse events reported to VAERS like TTP, Guillain-Barré Syndrome, myocarditis and death?

Let’s assume that the URF is lower than the lowest estimate of the URF that’s been done to date. It was calculated from Pfizer severe adverse event data and applies to severe adverse events. Let’s go with 30. Nice round number. Let’s also use their quoted estimate of 13,434 COVID-19 product associated deaths in VAERS. This would mean that 403,020 people had actually died if we use an URF of 30. This means that their statistic becomes 0.07%. That means that 7 out of every 10,000 individuals who get injected die. If we use the actual number of deaths reported to VAERS which is 29,481 (this includes spontaneous abortions), the URF of 30 gives us 884,430 and a death rate of 1/1,000. 1 in 1,000 individuals injected will die. That sounds serious. Is it accurate? We don’t know yet. You feel lucky? Punk?

Do some pausation. Make a wellness station. In your nation. Fill it with creation. Curb devastation. Grow the thinking population. (Ben. ha.)

1. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/season/faq-flu-season-2020-2021.htm

2. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/adverse-events.html