It seems a little weird that the statistics are 12 months behind & that the ABS is pointing fingers to parents being tardy in their registration of the birth. In order to apply for maternity leave, one needs to register the birth of their child. The Australian government has in the past also paid a 'Baby Bonus' to new parents for which, of course, the birth needs to be registered in order to receive the government payment. I don't know if the Baby Bonus scheme is still in use, though. Also, parents who want to receive family tax benefits obviously need to register the birth of their child to receive them. Then there's Medicare: babies cannot receive any post-natal care until they are on their parents Medicare card which, of course, requires registration. So there are many reasons why parents would not delay reporting the birth of a child. Either the ABS is seriously deficient in updating statistics or there is an anomaly in the birth rates. I don't believe that the delay in parental reporting is a significant factor, despite what the ABS says.
At what point, if not already, is it reasonable to ask what efforts have been made in data collection and data management to allow for improved visibility into potential effects of these untested injections - suggest for EVERYONE?
If I didn't know any better, I'd suggest that little has been done.
BTW, everything Nikki Vella said above is the absolute truth regarding payments and incentives to register births, i strongly concur. Something is definitely fishy here for the following reasons in addition to what Nikki stated above...
Here is a government organisation with all the budget and resources required to get a simple count/ registration accurate and they obviously can't.
Secondly and most importantly, this data was most probably released recently in November 2022. For argument sake, Let's even say it was released in Sept/ October 2022, isn't 9/10 months from Dec 2021 enough time to get this correctly and publish the correct number of births. With all the aforementioned incentives to register birth, don't you think this is not adding up. It smells really fishy.
Lastly, if this were truly so, any basic professional will endeavour to mark that number with an asterisk and label it as incomplete. Moreover, if Dec 2021 is incomplete, what about Nov 2021? Is that also incomplete? Trust me these folks are highly suspicious.
They must think we're really stupid with no brains and can be told anything. No
I've had three babies, here in the U.S. and birth certificates were filled out before leaving the hospital. (and I have specific memories of my first, since one of the OB nurses had the nerve to criticize my choice of name, ugh.)
yes you see that right there, why would a fine even be relevant? why the force? registration means transferring ownership of entity, responsibility for situation, people. The "government" (aka criminals) believe they are the owners of people once registered. The "government" actually gets money from the Vatican when a birth is registered which is given a number and that number is then registered on the U.S. Stock exchange as a stock for the purposes of accruing dividends over time to fraudulently claim on behalf on the baby eventually turning into an adult. The money is supposed to go to that adult at 18 to pay for all expenses incurred between living and dying to old age.
The Baby Bonus (and paid parentel leave) scheme is still in use, which is why stillbirths are included in the raw figures that the states provide (and I wouldn't be surprised if the ABS is trying to 'normalise' these out)
Although the parents do need to register the birth in order to have the child added to Medicare and for the Baby Bonus, the ABS doesn't receive birth data from Medicare and Centrelink, they receive it from the state BDM agencies, so yes, they are seriously deficient in updating statistics ,but it may be as much due to other agencies upstream as their own deficiencies.
Another thing to consider is that there will always be a delay in birth registrations in December across to January, as the agencies involved generally shut down for a week from Christmas to New Years, so you can probably safely say that the last 2 weeks of December births are not actually 'registered' until January.
And even if parents don't delay reporting the births, the registrations only move at the speed of the bureaucracy
I hadn't considered that the stillbirth figures would be included in the dataset, given that any Australian birth after 20 weeks is legally required to be registered. That's a good point. My first born was stillborn, back in 2012, so I know the distress the process causes. I also have a friend who recently lost a baby at 35 weeks gestation (both parents vaccinated). It would be interesting to find out how the stillbirth rate for the last 12 months compares to previous years. It seems absurd to me that stillbirths are counted in the birth statistcs but i guess thats statistics for you.
I know that NSW data provides a breakdown of the actual birth 'events' that are recorded, so multiple births, homebirths, stillbirths etc. Presumably ABS gets those figures, but who knows if they use them properly.
Australia's' public broadcaster the ABC is providing some very bizarre commentary on reaching "Peak Child" and that our fertility rate is declining while giving no reason. It's like we are being programed to accept collapsing fertility as normal or natural?...
Ha! Was going to share the exact same article. Again, driving the point home of stating that fertility rates are declining without giving a single reason why...
A reduction in sperm count for males over a number of decades has been documented. I have also seen reports of increased female fertility problems as well. I can't help but point to vaccines in general as being partially responsible although there are other factors we can point to as well.
The Australian government is likely the WORST in the world. Nothing they do surprises me. Along with the witch from Auckland, Oceania is sitting in a ditch filled with governmental excreta.
As an Australian male, late 50s, let me say that barring any ramping up of the PLANdemic, I will be an EMIGRATION statistic for 1st quarter 2023. I will NOT be returning to this prison Island, I will NEVER forget the nightmare that was the last (almost) 3 years
Quo vadis? Well, Albanese declared that his government will be increasing Australia’s annual migration intake from 160,000 to 195,000… most of whom will be housed and fed at taxpayers' expense. Trudeau will welcome 500,000 migrants annually.
Nov 15, 2022·edited Nov 15, 2022Liked by Jessica Rose
I can understand a slight delay in reporting of births in December. however, a) this should be consistent each year as a basis for comparison pre-revision and b) in a country like Australia where there are child benefits and tax incentives involved, protracted delays in reporting will NOT occur. Delays of up to a year in revising data (over both the calendar AND the tax years) are inexcusable.
But as usual in these situations, bureaucrats will throw improbable explanations into the mix to obfuscate the truth. They are experts at doing this!
Hey Jessica - I think there's a key piece of information you may be missing in the ABS's data quality section; specifically: "Of the 309,996 births registered in 2021, 88.2% (273,301) occurred in 2021, while 9.0% occurred in 2020 (27,751) and the remainder occurred in 2019 or earlier years."
So we can see that almost 90% of births registered in a given year (2021 in this case) were registered in that same year, and only 9% related to the previous year. So given this data release was in Oct/Nov 2022 (i.e. almost a year after the year in question), from their historical reporting rates it seems that c. 97% (or close to) of births should have been reported already. So, while we can expect some increase over time in the numbers for late 2021 births, I suspect it won't get us back to 'normal', and the complete data will still show a significant decline from late 2021... (in line with glimpses of data we're seeing internationally).
PS the state of Victoria seems the slowest - they have only 21 births registered in Dec 2021 in the current ABS dataset, and we can see from the ABS data quality section that they have the greatest proportion of births back-dated to previous years. But that's just a side-note.
This is a problem of government ineptitude on display. In the US there is still no "official count" of the number of deaths in 2020, this in spite of death certificates being "promptly" recorded within 2 months of date of expiration. It is even worse with births. Every baby born in the US gets a birth certificate filed with the county of birth and that actually happens promptly. But in addition, every baby born in the US gets a social security card application filed at the hospital, literally as soon as the child has a name. Our 3rd child we were having trouble deciding on a name and the day after he was born the nurses were really on us about getting him named so the paperwork could be filed as required by law. On the social security application it even says the application is filed because of a birth. You would think it easy to get that data compiled. We even got the card before the 6 weeks of maternity leave ended. At most it should have a 6 week lag. Nope, still no idea how many people were born in the US in 2020.
Government sucks at doing anything they are actually supposed to do because they are too busy doing inane shit they have no business being involved in.
I agree that the data from the ABS is poor, and it is a data lag that you're seeing here - I saw exactly the same thing when I was looking at the data for 2020 at a similar time in 2021. Unfortunately the ABS is also reliant on the states reporting their data to them, and when you go digging into the data that is available directly from the states (if you can find it) it is almost impossible to match up the data between the ABS and the states.
There are also other confounding issues, such as how stillbirths are reported, which varies from state to state, and that the ABS is (apparently) trying to get the births matched to actual month of birth rather than month of registration - as well as the simple fact that their various different tools don't link to the same data sets. I do know someone who is getting the raw registration monthly data directly from NSW Births, Deaths and Marriages, but that doesn't appear to be available online,.
Looking forward to following this train of "find the data"😉🙏
Re the declining populations prior to covid, this has been followed and speculated by quite a few of us. Dr Zac Bush has discussed this most recently in the last 10 years, as being a result of the pernicious glysophate usage within the agricultural industry globally, and the resulting effects shown in the fertility and genetic mouse studies, involving F0, F1 and F2. F0 being the baby boomers (If I'm remembering correctly), and had relatively no fertility issues, while F1 showed neurodegenerative, CNS and Autism, while the physically deformities, DNA breaks, starts in F2.
Worth looking at or discussing with him, he can point you o the Italian, French and Spanish studies.
Plus see Stephanie Seneffs work, re substituting the glycine molecule, sulphur rings and deuterium.
After a brief lockdown in 2020 Western Australia closed its borders (against the constitution) and eliminated community transmission by April 2020. We had few cases till December 2021 when someone took it to a new years party. Had lockdowns and universal mask wearing in 2022 and they also stopped unvaccinated people from going to work (ie me) in many jobs for about 5 months, until ?April 2022 when community spread of Omicron was so ubiquitous among vaccinated people that they finally gave up on the health measures, when it was crystal clear they weren’t working and the unvaccinated were not getting Omicron any worse.
I have a feeling this might skew the statistics too as the other States all had Covid same time as the rest of the world.
WA has 11 percent of the nations population = 2.76 million in 2021 apparently
Bureau of meteorology here is notorious now for fudging the figures. I hope ABS hasn’t gone down the sink too.
It's very complicated to untangle. I suspect reporting issues are partially responsible, but to what extent? As I said on my Substack: why haven't things been more transparent? The situation is now out of control and I'm not sure how much longer this can continue. Thanks for reading.
Nov 14, 2022·edited Nov 15, 2022Liked by Jessica Rose
Hi Jessica. There may be some problems with the methodology your using. Using the “data explorer” instead of their “reports”. The problem is the ABS is not the registry and they rely on the states to report the numbers to them so there may be reporting delays between the states to the ABS as well as other processing delays. It’s hard to get “real time” data from ABS because I don’t think it was ever intended to be a real time reporting system. Their “annual reports” are usually about 9 months behind real time data so the delays are not an issue for them for their “official reports.” The yearly population figures are usually estimates but there was a census in 2021 so a flat line 2020 to 2021 could just be an artifact of going from “estimate” to “actual” rather than a real decline in the rate.
I haven’t looked at your figures in detail, on the surface they are alarming, I have previously looked at deaths and thought “wow that looks sus” then on further digging found that the data I was looking at had lags and anomalies that were explained by the way the data is collected.
Not trying to debunk your message, it’s just that previously I’d thought I had a smoking gun and found it to just be a property of the timing in the data collection method.
Edit: The comments by “The Goat” are pretty much what I’m talking about. Also I like someone’s comment that they’re moving at “The speed of bureaucracy.”
I've found the data you used for charts and reproduced the same chart myself to confirm. It looks like the monthly ABS numbers are junk when comparing them to the totals in the annual report. The annual report has 309,996 as the total for the year. The break down by month adds up to only 273,301. I've tried running my own queries on some of the other data cubes to see if I could find an indirect way of getting the monthly data or at least a number close to 309,996, but I can't. It looks like the information in some (maybe all) of the data cubes hasn't been updated for nearly a year. The monthly data looks like it's way out of date, for example Victoria with a population of 7 million only has 21 births allocated in December 2021 vs about 6,000 in previous years. I cant find where they got the 309,996 from but it's certainly not from any of the data cubes I looked at. Admittedly, I only spent an hour looking at it, so it may be there but I didn't find it.
If this is the quality of the ABS data cubes I wouldn't read too much into any other analyses either, it may be just as out of date as the births data. GIGO.
P.S. This isn't a reflection on your analysis, I just think the underlying birth data by month from the ABS is garbage. I'm genuinely surprised and disappointed at how out of date it is. I was expecting a consistent and small 3 month lag like the all cause mortality series but this is ridiculous.
It seems a little weird that the statistics are 12 months behind & that the ABS is pointing fingers to parents being tardy in their registration of the birth. In order to apply for maternity leave, one needs to register the birth of their child. The Australian government has in the past also paid a 'Baby Bonus' to new parents for which, of course, the birth needs to be registered in order to receive the government payment. I don't know if the Baby Bonus scheme is still in use, though. Also, parents who want to receive family tax benefits obviously need to register the birth of their child to receive them. Then there's Medicare: babies cannot receive any post-natal care until they are on their parents Medicare card which, of course, requires registration. So there are many reasons why parents would not delay reporting the birth of a child. Either the ABS is seriously deficient in updating statistics or there is an anomaly in the birth rates. I don't believe that the delay in parental reporting is a significant factor, despite what the ABS says.
i know...
At what point, if not already, is it reasonable to ask what efforts have been made in data collection and data management to allow for improved visibility into potential effects of these untested injections - suggest for EVERYONE?
If I didn't know any better, I'd suggest that little has been done.
When can we ask why not?
It is reasonable last year.
BTW, everything Nikki Vella said above is the absolute truth regarding payments and incentives to register births, i strongly concur. Something is definitely fishy here for the following reasons in addition to what Nikki stated above...
Here is a government organisation with all the budget and resources required to get a simple count/ registration accurate and they obviously can't.
Secondly and most importantly, this data was most probably released recently in November 2022. For argument sake, Let's even say it was released in Sept/ October 2022, isn't 9/10 months from Dec 2021 enough time to get this correctly and publish the correct number of births. With all the aforementioned incentives to register birth, don't you think this is not adding up. It smells really fishy.
Lastly, if this were truly so, any basic professional will endeavour to mark that number with an asterisk and label it as incomplete. Moreover, if Dec 2021 is incomplete, what about Nov 2021? Is that also incomplete? Trust me these folks are highly suspicious.
They must think we're really stupid with no brains and can be told anything. No
yes and I’m pretty sure you get a massive fine here if it takes more than a couple of months to reguster your child? from memory.
I've had three babies, here in the U.S. and birth certificates were filled out before leaving the hospital. (and I have specific memories of my first, since one of the OB nurses had the nerve to criticize my choice of name, ugh.)
yes you see that right there, why would a fine even be relevant? why the force? registration means transferring ownership of entity, responsibility for situation, people. The "government" (aka criminals) believe they are the owners of people once registered. The "government" actually gets money from the Vatican when a birth is registered which is given a number and that number is then registered on the U.S. Stock exchange as a stock for the purposes of accruing dividends over time to fraudulently claim on behalf on the baby eventually turning into an adult. The money is supposed to go to that adult at 18 to pay for all expenses incurred between living and dying to old age.
Never forget this truism: Governments lie.
The Baby Bonus (and paid parentel leave) scheme is still in use, which is why stillbirths are included in the raw figures that the states provide (and I wouldn't be surprised if the ABS is trying to 'normalise' these out)
Although the parents do need to register the birth in order to have the child added to Medicare and for the Baby Bonus, the ABS doesn't receive birth data from Medicare and Centrelink, they receive it from the state BDM agencies, so yes, they are seriously deficient in updating statistics ,but it may be as much due to other agencies upstream as their own deficiencies.
Another thing to consider is that there will always be a delay in birth registrations in December across to January, as the agencies involved generally shut down for a week from Christmas to New Years, so you can probably safely say that the last 2 weeks of December births are not actually 'registered' until January.
And even if parents don't delay reporting the births, the registrations only move at the speed of the bureaucracy
I hadn't considered that the stillbirth figures would be included in the dataset, given that any Australian birth after 20 weeks is legally required to be registered. That's a good point. My first born was stillborn, back in 2012, so I know the distress the process causes. I also have a friend who recently lost a baby at 35 weeks gestation (both parents vaccinated). It would be interesting to find out how the stillbirth rate for the last 12 months compares to previous years. It seems absurd to me that stillbirths are counted in the birth statistcs but i guess thats statistics for you.
I know that NSW data provides a breakdown of the actual birth 'events' that are recorded, so multiple births, homebirths, stillbirths etc. Presumably ABS gets those figures, but who knows if they use them properly.
Australia's' public broadcaster the ABC is providing some very bizarre commentary on reaching "Peak Child" and that our fertility rate is declining while giving no reason. It's like we are being programed to accept collapsing fertility as normal or natural?...
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-13/earths-population-reaches-eight-billion-people/101643854
exactly what i am thinking...
Ha! Was going to share the exact same article. Again, driving the point home of stating that fertility rates are declining without giving a single reason why...
Climate change obvs
A reduction in sperm count for males over a number of decades has been documented. I have also seen reports of increased female fertility problems as well. I can't help but point to vaccines in general as being partially responsible although there are other factors we can point to as well.
Some people choose not to have children that will have to face what the world will be like in a decade or two.
Applaud them. We need fewer gullible people.
The Australian government is likely the WORST in the world. Nothing they do surprises me. Along with the witch from Auckland, Oceania is sitting in a ditch filled with governmental excreta.
Sewers have burst everywhere.
Time to clean up.
hahaha, perfect :)
Sounds similar to the CDC “updating” their database. Which took months. And the update was clearly about manipulation.
As an Australian male, late 50s, let me say that barring any ramping up of the PLANdemic, I will be an EMIGRATION statistic for 1st quarter 2023. I will NOT be returning to this prison Island, I will NEVER forget the nightmare that was the last (almost) 3 years
Quo vadis? Well, Albanese declared that his government will be increasing Australia’s annual migration intake from 160,000 to 195,000… most of whom will be housed and fed at taxpayers' expense. Trudeau will welcome 500,000 migrants annually.
I can understand a slight delay in reporting of births in December. however, a) this should be consistent each year as a basis for comparison pre-revision and b) in a country like Australia where there are child benefits and tax incentives involved, protracted delays in reporting will NOT occur. Delays of up to a year in revising data (over both the calendar AND the tax years) are inexcusable.
But as usual in these situations, bureaucrats will throw improbable explanations into the mix to obfuscate the truth. They are experts at doing this!
Hey Jessica - I think there's a key piece of information you may be missing in the ABS's data quality section; specifically: "Of the 309,996 births registered in 2021, 88.2% (273,301) occurred in 2021, while 9.0% occurred in 2020 (27,751) and the remainder occurred in 2019 or earlier years."
So we can see that almost 90% of births registered in a given year (2021 in this case) were registered in that same year, and only 9% related to the previous year. So given this data release was in Oct/Nov 2022 (i.e. almost a year after the year in question), from their historical reporting rates it seems that c. 97% (or close to) of births should have been reported already. So, while we can expect some increase over time in the numbers for late 2021 births, I suspect it won't get us back to 'normal', and the complete data will still show a significant decline from late 2021... (in line with glimpses of data we're seeing internationally).
PS the state of Victoria seems the slowest - they have only 21 births registered in Dec 2021 in the current ABS dataset, and we can see from the ABS data quality section that they have the greatest proportion of births back-dated to previous years. But that's just a side-note.
excellent points!
WEF: "Hasta la vista, baby!"
right?
GOD bless you Jessica Rose for being a committed & courageous TRUTH Warrior ...
This is a problem of government ineptitude on display. In the US there is still no "official count" of the number of deaths in 2020, this in spite of death certificates being "promptly" recorded within 2 months of date of expiration. It is even worse with births. Every baby born in the US gets a birth certificate filed with the county of birth and that actually happens promptly. But in addition, every baby born in the US gets a social security card application filed at the hospital, literally as soon as the child has a name. Our 3rd child we were having trouble deciding on a name and the day after he was born the nurses were really on us about getting him named so the paperwork could be filed as required by law. On the social security application it even says the application is filed because of a birth. You would think it easy to get that data compiled. We even got the card before the 6 weeks of maternity leave ended. At most it should have a 6 week lag. Nope, still no idea how many people were born in the US in 2020.
Government sucks at doing anything they are actually supposed to do because they are too busy doing inane shit they have no business being involved in.
I agree that the data from the ABS is poor, and it is a data lag that you're seeing here - I saw exactly the same thing when I was looking at the data for 2020 at a similar time in 2021. Unfortunately the ABS is also reliant on the states reporting their data to them, and when you go digging into the data that is available directly from the states (if you can find it) it is almost impossible to match up the data between the ABS and the states.
There are also other confounding issues, such as how stillbirths are reported, which varies from state to state, and that the ABS is (apparently) trying to get the births matched to actual month of birth rather than month of registration - as well as the simple fact that their various different tools don't link to the same data sets. I do know someone who is getting the raw registration monthly data directly from NSW Births, Deaths and Marriages, but that doesn't appear to be available online,.
interesting
Another clever delay tactic
Looking forward to following this train of "find the data"😉🙏
Re the declining populations prior to covid, this has been followed and speculated by quite a few of us. Dr Zac Bush has discussed this most recently in the last 10 years, as being a result of the pernicious glysophate usage within the agricultural industry globally, and the resulting effects shown in the fertility and genetic mouse studies, involving F0, F1 and F2. F0 being the baby boomers (If I'm remembering correctly), and had relatively no fertility issues, while F1 showed neurodegenerative, CNS and Autism, while the physically deformities, DNA breaks, starts in F2.
Worth looking at or discussing with him, he can point you o the Italian, French and Spanish studies.
Plus see Stephanie Seneffs work, re substituting the glycine molecule, sulphur rings and deuterium.
Now chuck in the lipid nano partical etc....🤔🤔😐😑
Where did they come from? Maricopa County, Arizona USA?
After a brief lockdown in 2020 Western Australia closed its borders (against the constitution) and eliminated community transmission by April 2020. We had few cases till December 2021 when someone took it to a new years party. Had lockdowns and universal mask wearing in 2022 and they also stopped unvaccinated people from going to work (ie me) in many jobs for about 5 months, until ?April 2022 when community spread of Omicron was so ubiquitous among vaccinated people that they finally gave up on the health measures, when it was crystal clear they weren’t working and the unvaccinated were not getting Omicron any worse.
I have a feeling this might skew the statistics too as the other States all had Covid same time as the rest of the world.
WA has 11 percent of the nations population = 2.76 million in 2021 apparently
Bureau of meteorology here is notorious now for fudging the figures. I hope ABS hasn’t gone down the sink too.
If you're interested in WA, have a look at this https://vicparkpetition.substack.com/p/smoking-gun-data-for-covid-vaccine
Thanks great article. I’ll be looking into this more.
It’s all so bizarre isn’t it?
It's very complicated to untangle. I suspect reporting issues are partially responsible, but to what extent? As I said on my Substack: why haven't things been more transparent? The situation is now out of control and I'm not sure how much longer this can continue. Thanks for reading.
Hi Jessica. There may be some problems with the methodology your using. Using the “data explorer” instead of their “reports”. The problem is the ABS is not the registry and they rely on the states to report the numbers to them so there may be reporting delays between the states to the ABS as well as other processing delays. It’s hard to get “real time” data from ABS because I don’t think it was ever intended to be a real time reporting system. Their “annual reports” are usually about 9 months behind real time data so the delays are not an issue for them for their “official reports.” The yearly population figures are usually estimates but there was a census in 2021 so a flat line 2020 to 2021 could just be an artifact of going from “estimate” to “actual” rather than a real decline in the rate.
I haven’t looked at your figures in detail, on the surface they are alarming, I have previously looked at deaths and thought “wow that looks sus” then on further digging found that the data I was looking at had lags and anomalies that were explained by the way the data is collected.
Not trying to debunk your message, it’s just that previously I’d thought I had a smoking gun and found it to just be a property of the timing in the data collection method.
Edit: The comments by “The Goat” are pretty much what I’m talking about. Also I like someone’s comment that they’re moving at “The speed of bureaucracy.”
Excellent! Maybe this is the discrepancy I found between the data.
This was brought up by Senator Roberts in senate estimates 4 weeks ago and again in the Parliament.
They act like they don’t know what he is talking about, they seem unable to confirm their own data?
Clown show 🤡
https://youtu.be/4CE6UDf-n4Y
I've found the data you used for charts and reproduced the same chart myself to confirm. It looks like the monthly ABS numbers are junk when comparing them to the totals in the annual report. The annual report has 309,996 as the total for the year. The break down by month adds up to only 273,301. I've tried running my own queries on some of the other data cubes to see if I could find an indirect way of getting the monthly data or at least a number close to 309,996, but I can't. It looks like the information in some (maybe all) of the data cubes hasn't been updated for nearly a year. The monthly data looks like it's way out of date, for example Victoria with a population of 7 million only has 21 births allocated in December 2021 vs about 6,000 in previous years. I cant find where they got the 309,996 from but it's certainly not from any of the data cubes I looked at. Admittedly, I only spent an hour looking at it, so it may be there but I didn't find it.
If this is the quality of the ABS data cubes I wouldn't read too much into any other analyses either, it may be just as out of date as the births data. GIGO.
P.S. This isn't a reflection on your analysis, I just think the underlying birth data by month from the ABS is garbage. I'm genuinely surprised and disappointed at how out of date it is. I was expecting a consistent and small 3 month lag like the all cause mortality series but this is ridiculous.